Western United FC vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
10º
9º
14
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
18 | 49 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 46 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 45 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 41 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 41 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 39 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 38 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 37 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 29 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 28 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 23 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 21 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 36% |
|
Next round
|
25.5% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 1
WES
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 1
WUF
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
WUF
3 - 1
MEL
25%
22%
53%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 2
AFC
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 6 | 57 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 2
SGC
34%
22%
44%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 3
MEL
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
MCI
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PER
5 - 4
MCI
22%
21%
58%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
MCI
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
WUF
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |