Western Suburbs vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
21
5º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 4
WSU
31%
22%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
MIR
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
0 - 1
WEL
5%
11%
84%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 0
WSU
88%
8%
4%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 9
MIR
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 3
PET
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
WEL
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PET
3 - 3
STO
50%
20%
29%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STO
1 - 3
PET
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |