Premier League round 41

West Ham vs Birmingham City analysis

West Ham Birmingham City
80 ELO 79
16.5% Tilt 7.2%
39º General ELO ranking 1110º
10º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
58.4%
West Ham
20.2%
Draw
21.4%
Birmingham City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
West Ham
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.4%
Win probability
Birmingham City
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
West Ham
-4%
+26%
Birmingham City

ELO progression

West Ham
Birmingham City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

West Ham
West Ham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 1928
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
4 - 0
West Ham
WHU
61%
20%
19%
81 83 2 0
14 Apr. 1928
WHU
West Ham
1 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
63%
19%
18%
81 77 4 0
09 Apr. 1928
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
West Ham
WHU
61%
20%
20%
81 81 0 0
07 Apr. 1928
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
West Ham
WHU
54%
21%
25%
81 76 5 0
06 Apr. 1928
WHU
West Ham
0 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
60%
20%
20%
81 80 1 0

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 1928
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
47%
25%
29%
78 81 3 0
14 Apr. 1928
LEI
Leicester
3 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
65%
18%
17%
78 81 3 0
10 Apr. 1928
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
47%
25%
29%
79 83 4 -1
09 Apr. 1928
HUR
Huddersfield Town
2 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
66%
19%
15%
79 87 8 0
07 Apr. 1928
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
52%
23%
25%
79 77 2 0