Championship round 4

West Bromwich Albion vs Swansea City analysis

West Bromwich Albion Swansea City
80 ELO 76
-10.3% Tilt 4.8%
362º General ELO ranking 606º
25º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44%
West Bromwich Albion
26.1%
Draw
29.9%
Swansea City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
West Bromwich Albion
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.9%
Win probability
Swansea City
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

ELO66.968.269.470.77273.374.675.977.178.479.78182.383.684.886.1-18.4%-16.6%-14.8%-12.9%-11.1%-9.3%-7.4%-5.6%-3.8%-1.9%-0.1%1.8%3.6%5.4%7.3%9.1%10.9%12.8%14.6%16.4%
← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
West Bromwich Albion
+3%
-1%
Swansea City

Points and table prediction

West Bromwich Albion
Their league position
Swansea City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
34
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
11º13º15º17º2.79.616.623.530.437.444.3
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leeds United
53
91
44%
Burnley
52
89
25.5%
Sheffield United
52
89
22.5%
Sunderland
50
79
32.5%
Middlesbrough
41
75
24%
Blackburn Rovers
39
71
16%
West Bromwich Albion
40
69
12%
Norwich City
11º
36
68
13%
Watford
37
66
9.5%
Bristol City
37
63
10º
13.5%
Sheffield Wednesday
10º
37
63
11º
11.5%
Coventry City
16º
29
61
12º
11%
Swansea City
12º
34
60
13º
10.5%
Luton Town
20º
25
56
14º
9.5%
Preston North End
15º
30
55
15º
7%
Queens Park Rangers
13º
32
55
16º
11%
Derby County
18º
27
53
17º
10.5%
Millwall
14º
30
53
18º
8.5%
Oxford United
17º
28
51
19º
7.5%
Portsmouth
21º
23
50
20º
11%
Stoke City
19º
27
50
21º
10.5%
Hull City
22º
23
46
22º
13.5%
Cardiff City
23º
23
43
23º
19%
Plymouth Argyle
24º
20
41
24º
38%
Expected probabilities
West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City
Promotion
0.5% 0%
Promotion play-offs
33.5% 3%
Mid-table
66% 97%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

75º76º77º78º79º80º81ºOct .23Jan .24Apr .24Jul .24
West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Sheffield United
Cardiff City
Stoke City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
STO
Stoke City
1 - 2
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
32%
27%
42%
79 75 4 0
17 Aug. 2024
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
30%
25%
45%
79 84 5 0
13 Aug. 2024
FLE
Fleetwood Town
2 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
14%
20%
66%
79 60 19 0
10 Aug. 2024
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
1 - 3
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
28%
26%
46%
79 72 7 0
03 Aug. 2024
BIR
Birmingham City
4 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
28%
24%
48%
79 68 11 0

Matches

Swansea City
Swansea City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2024
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 1
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
61%
21%
18%
77 68 9 0
25 Aug. 2024
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
59%
23%
18%
77 69 8 0
17 Aug. 2024
SWA
Swansea City
3 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
49%
26%
25%
76 74 2 +1
13 Aug. 2024
SWA
Swansea City
3 - 1
Gillingham
GIL
72%
18%
10%
76 59 17 0
10 Aug. 2024
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
49%
25%
27%
76 81 5 0