Championship round 14

West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley analysis

West Bromwich Albion Burnley
80 ELO 86
-17.6% Tilt 3.4%
411º General ELO ranking 124º
27º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
28.4%
West Bromwich Albion
27.5%
Draw
44.2%
Burnley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
West Bromwich Albion
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.2%
Win probability
Burnley
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
West Bromwich Albion
+1%
+2%
Burnley

Points and table prediction

West Bromwich Albion
Their league position
Burnley
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sheffield United
48
94
51%
Leeds United
45
92
44.5%
Burnley
44
86
33%
Sunderland
43
79
16.5%
Middlesbrough
35
77
21%
Blackburn Rovers
37
76
15.5%
West Bromwich Albion
35
71
13.5%
Watford
34
70
13%
Norwich City
13º
26
65
5.5%
Sheffield Wednesday
32
65
10º
9%
Luton Town
15º
25
64
11º
10.5%
Coventry City
17º
24
60
12º
11%
Swansea City
11º
27
60
13º
9%
Bristol City
12º
27
58
14º
5%
Millwall
10º
28
55
15º
9%
Derby County
16º
24
54
16º
6%
Portsmouth
20º
20
54
17º
7.5%
Preston North End
18º
23
52
18º
7%
Queens Park Rangers
14º
25
52
19º
10%
Stoke City
19º
22
49
20º
12%
Hull City
21º
19
46
21º
11.5%
Oxford United
23º
18
45
22º
17.5%
Plymouth Argyle
24º
18
45
23º
15%
Cardiff City
22º
18
42
24º
36.5%
Expected probabilities
West Bromwich Albion
Burnley
Promotion
0.5% 32.5%
Promotion play-offs
37% 64%
Mid-table
62.5% 3.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

West Bromwich Albion
Burnley
Derby County
Middlesbrough
Sheffield United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2024
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
52%
23%
25%
80 80 0 0
26 Oct. 2024
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
58%
24%
18%
80 70 10 0
23 Oct. 2024
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
44%
25%
31%
80 79 1 0
19 Oct. 2024
OXF
Oxford United
1 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
30%
26%
44%
80 74 6 0
05 Oct. 2024
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 0
Millwall
MIL
52%
27%
21%
80 75 5 0

Matches

Burnley
Burnley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
MIL
Millwall
1 - 0
Burnley
BUR
24%
27%
49%
86 75 11 0
26 Oct. 2024
BUR
Burnley
0 - 0
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
68%
20%
12%
86 71 15 0
23 Oct. 2024
HUL
Hull City
1 - 1
Burnley
BUR
25%
26%
49%
87 75 12 -1
19 Oct. 2024
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Burnley
BUR
27%
26%
47%
87 77 10 0
05 Oct. 2024
BUR
Burnley
0 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
67%
20%
13%
87 76 11 0