Bundesliga round 25

Werder Bremen vs Hertha BSC analysis

Werder Bremen Hertha BSC
89 ELO 85
20.1% Tilt 16.6%
168º General ELO ranking 341º
14º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
68.5%
Werder Bremen
18.1%
Draw
13.4%
Hertha BSC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.4%
Win probability
Hertha BSC
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Werder Bremen
+9%
+1%
Hertha BSC

ELO progression

Werder Bremen
Hertha BSC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2006
JUV
Juventus
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
61%
22%
17%
89 93 4 0
04 Mar. 2006
LEV
B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
34%
24%
42%
89 85 4 0
25 Feb. 2006
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
75%
15%
9%
89 80 9 0
22 Feb. 2006
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 2
Juventus
JUV
38%
26%
37%
89 94 5 0
18 Feb. 2006
BVB
B. Dortmund
0 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
29%
25%
46%
89 85 4 0

Matches

Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2006
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 4
Köln
KOL
61%
22%
18%
84 73 11 0
26 Feb. 2006
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
27%
25%
48%
85 71 14 -1
23 Feb. 2006
RAP
FC Rapid Bucuresti
2 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
33%
27%
39%
85 78 7 0
18 Feb. 2006
HER
Hertha BSC
1 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
37%
27%
36%
85 88 3 0
15 Feb. 2006
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 1
FC Rapid Bucuresti
RAP
64%
22%
14%
86 78 8 -1