Bundesliga round 17

Werder Bremen vs 1860 München analysis

Werder Bremen 1860 München
85 ELO 79
2.5% Tilt 10.2%
167º General ELO ranking 1419º
14º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
62.6%
Werder Bremen
20.9%
Draw
16.5%
1860 München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1860 München
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Werder Bremen
+8%
-3%
1860 München

ELO progression

Werder Bremen
1860 München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 1996
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
27%
25%
48%
86 76 10 0
23 Nov. 1996
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 4
B. Dortmund
BVB
40%
25%
35%
86 89 3 0
15 Nov. 1996
KOL
Köln
4 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
36%
26%
38%
86 82 4 0
12 Nov. 1996
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
57%
23%
20%
86 89 3 0
02 Nov. 1996
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
58%
22%
20%
86 83 3 0

Matches

1860 München
1860 München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 1996
MUN
1860 München
1 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
32%
25%
42%
79 87 8 0
23 Nov. 1996
S04
Schalke 04
4 - 1
1860 München
MUN
53%
24%
23%
79 83 4 0
16 Nov. 1996
MUN
1860 München
1 - 3
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
68%
19%
13%
80 69 11 -1
01 Nov. 1996
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
1860 München
MUN
71%
18%
11%
79 89 10 +1
26 Oct. 1996
MUN
1860 München
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
64%
20%
16%
79 74 5 0