Werder Bremen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
MSV
3 - 5
BRE
15%
22%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 0
S04
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 1
BRE
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 0
BYM
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
EIN
0 - 1
BRE
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2006 |
KOL
0 - 1
HSV
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
KOL
3 - 1
MSV
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
S04
1 - 1
KOL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
KOL
3 - 0
WOL
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
BYM
2 - 2
KOL
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |