Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
3º
13
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
69.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 1
WPH
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WPH
1 - 0
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WPH
5 - 2
BRI
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 1
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
MCI
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CCM
3 - 1
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
WES
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 3
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |