Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SYD
7 - 1
WPH
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2012 |
WPH
3 - 2
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CCM
0 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
ADE
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |