New Zealand National League Central round 18

Wellington Phoenix II vs Wellington United analysis

Wellington Phoenix II Wellington United
45 ELO 20
23.1% Tilt 13%
10445º General ELO ranking 12880º
23º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
93.4%
Wellington Phoenix II
4.8%
Draw
1.8%
Wellington United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.1%
Win probability
Wellington Phoenix II
4.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.7%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.1%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.8%
1.8%
Win probability
Wellington United
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wellington Phoenix II
-32%
-11%
Wellington United

ELO progression

Wellington Phoenix II
Wellington United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wellington Phoenix II
Wellington Phoenix II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
WKA
Waterside Karori
1 - 0
Wellington Phoenix II
WEL
7%
14%
80%
47 21 26 0
13 Aug. 2022
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
2 - 0
North Wellington AFC
NWA
92%
6%
2%
47 20 27 0
07 Aug. 2022
NAP
Napier City Rovers
2 - 0
Wellington Phoenix II
WEL
8%
14%
78%
48 22 26 -1
23 Jul. 2022
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
4 - 0
Havelock North Wanderers
HNW
93%
6%
1%
48 20 28 0
16 Jul. 2022
WEL
Wellington Olympic
0 - 3
Wellington Phoenix II
WEL
35%
23%
42%
47 43 4 +1

Matches

Wellington United
Wellington United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
WUF
Wellington United
5 - 1
North Wellington AFC
NWA
44%
21%
35%
19 19 0 0
14 Aug. 2022
HNW
Havelock North Wanderers
1 - 4
Wellington United
WUF
65%
18%
17%
18 21 3 +1
06 Aug. 2022
WUF
Wellington United
1 - 2
Miramar
MIR
5%
11%
84%
18 48 30 0
24 Jul. 2022
WSU
Western Suburbs
2 - 1
Wellington United
WUF
74%
15%
11%
18 26 8 0
16 Jul. 2022
WUF
Wellington United
4 - 2
Waterside Karori
WKA
37%
22%
41%
18 21 3 0