National League South round 25

Welling United vs Eastbourne Borough analysis

Welling United Eastbourne Borough
38 ELO 34
5.1% Tilt 0.9%
5455º General ELO ranking 5606º
213º Country ELO ranking 223º
ELO win probability
53.4%
Welling United
21.5%
Draw
25.1%
Eastbourne Borough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
Welling United
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.2%
Win probability
Eastbourne Borough
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Welling United
-37%
+15%
Eastbourne Borough

ELO progression

Welling United
Eastbourne Borough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Welling United
Welling United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2018
DAR
Dartford
4 - 1
Welling United
WEL
69%
18%
13%
38 47 9 0
26 Dec. 2017
WEL
Welling United
2 - 3
Dartford
DAR
29%
25%
46%
39 47 8 -1
23 Dec. 2017
CHM
Chelmsford City
4 - 1
Welling United
WEL
66%
19%
15%
41 48 7 -2
09 Dec. 2017
WEL
Welling United
2 - 2
Truro City
WHI
41%
24%
35%
41 42 1 0
02 Dec. 2017
WEL
Welling United
0 - 3
East Thurrock United FC
EAS
38%
23%
39%
43 43 0 -2

Matches

Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2018
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 4
Whitehawk
WHI
81%
12%
7%
36 21 15 0
26 Dec. 2017
WHI
Whitehawk
0 - 1
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
18%
20%
62%
36 22 14 0
23 Dec. 2017
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 4
Havant & Waterlooville
HAV
28%
25%
47%
37 48 11 -1
16 Dec. 2017
DOV
Dover Athletic
3 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
67%
19%
13%
38 51 13 -1
09 Dec. 2017
BRA
Braintree Town
3 - 2
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
49%
24%
26%
39 44 5 -1