Welling United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 1
WEL
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 1
STA
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
WEL
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
WES
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 2
BIS
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CHM
2 - 0
OXF
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 0
CHM
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
CHM
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CHM
1 - 1
DAR
59%
21%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
CHM
2 - 0
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |