Weiden vs FC Eintracht Münchberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
10º
7º
16
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 70 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 69 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 67 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 56 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 54 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 34 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
66% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ELT
1 - 1
WEI
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
4 - 1
REG
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ING
1 - 0
WEI
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
2 - 1
EIC
26%
22%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SVO
0 - 6
WEI
11%
15%
73%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
FC Eintracht Münchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 1
TSV
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
FCE
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 5
BAY
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 0
FCE
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 2
BAY
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |