Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
8º
8º
27
7º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 65 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 58 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 56 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 49 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 37 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 36 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 35 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 33 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 31 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiche Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
STP
2 - 2
WEI
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WEI
5 - 0
TOD
51%
23%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
WER
4 - 1
WEI
70%
17%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
WEI
2 - 0
VFB
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BWL
3 - 1
WEI
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
HOL
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 1
HAM
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STP
1 - 4
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
TOD
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WER
5 - 0
HAM
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |