Wegberg-Beeck vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+153%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
15º
4º
28
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
WEG
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
3 - 2
H05
61%
20%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 0
USC
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
5 - 0
SPV
61%
18%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
4 - 3
WEG
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MER
2 - 4
BSC
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MER
2 - 0
SCF
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FVE
0 - 1
MER
18%
19%
64%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
H05
61%
18%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 4
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |