National League round 25

Wealdstone vs Boston United analysis

Wealdstone Boston United
49 ELO 45
5.8% Tilt 3.4%
4551º General ELO ranking 4204º
157º Country ELO ranking 139º
ELO win probability
60.5%
Wealdstone
21.2%
Draw
18.3%
Boston United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
Wealdstone
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.3%
Win probability
Boston United
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wealdstone
+29%
-24%
Boston United

Points and table prediction

Wealdstone
Their league position
Boston United
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
17º
23º
17º
15
19º
24º
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
23º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barnet
48
92
40%
Forest Green Rovers
46
88
22%
Gateshead
44
88
19%
York City
48
86
13.5%
Oldham Athletic AFC
43
85
16.5%
Rochdale
36
75
14%
Solihull Moors
35
73
11.5%
Altrincham
34
70
13%
Hartlepool United
11º
33
66
9%
Tamworth
14º
29
65
10º
6.5%
Dagenham & Redbridge
15º
28
64
11º
11.5%
Sutton United
13º
32
64
12º
8%
Yeovil Town
10º
34
64
13º
10.5%
Southend United
16º
27
62
14º
8.5%
Eastleigh
12º
32
62
15º
7%
FC Halifax Town
35
61
16º
11.5%
Wealdstone
18º
23
55
17º
10.5%
Aldershot Town
19º
23
55
18º
13.5%
Fylde
20º
22
48
19º
15%
Woking
17º
24
47
20º
21.5%
Maidenhead United
22º
20
44
21º
13.5%
Braintree Town
21º
20
41
22º
18%
Boston United
23º
15
38
23º
31.5%
Ebbsfleet United
24º
9
26
24º
76.5%
Expected probabilities
Wealdstone
Boston United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
3% 0%
Mid-table
82% 23.5%
Relegation
15% 76.5%

ELO progression

Wealdstone
Boston United
Maidenhead United
Tamworth
Altrincham
Solihull Moors
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wealdstone
Wealdstone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2024
WEA
Wealdstone
3 - 0
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
34%
26%
41%
47 54 7 0
14 Dec. 2024
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 2
Wealdstone
WEA
62%
21%
17%
48 55 7 -1
10 Dec. 2024
WEA
Wealdstone
3 - 3
Altrincham
ALT
30%
25%
45%
48 55 7 0
07 Dec. 2024
ALD
Aldershot Town
3 - 1
Wealdstone
WEA
42%
23%
35%
49 49 0 -1
30 Nov. 2024
WEA
Wealdstone
0 - 2
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
9%
16%
75%
50 76 26 -1

Matches

Boston United
Boston United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2024
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
1 - 0
Boston United
BOS
69%
20%
11%
46 59 13 0
07 Dec. 2024
BOS
Boston United
1 - 0
Alvechurch FC
ALV
65%
19%
16%
46 37 9 0
30 Nov. 2024
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
0 - 0
Boston United
BOS
38%
25%
38%
46 41 5 0
26 Nov. 2024
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
4 - 0
Boston United
BOS
69%
19%
12%
47 58 11 -1
23 Nov. 2024
BOS
Boston United
3 - 1
Braintree Town
BRA
37%
26%
37%
45 51 6 +2