WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
11º
10º
16
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 44 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 37 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 35 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 28 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 27 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 24 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 20 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
12º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WSG Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 2
WAT
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
IMS
0 - 3
WAT
12%
16%
72%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 3
LYO
19%
22%
59%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 2
SGF
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 5
FCK
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 3
ALA
42%
23%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 3
RBS
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ATV
2 - 2
GRA
2%
6%
92%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
5 - 1
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 1
HNS
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |