Waterhouse vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 1
WAT
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 0
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
DFC
2 - 2
WAT
43%
29%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 2
CAV
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
WAT
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 0
POR
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAV
0 - 2
LIO
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 1
ARN
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
LIO
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 2
MPA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |