Waterhouse vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
WAT
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
WAT
0 - 1
BOY
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 0
WAT
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 0
CAV
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TRI
4 - 0
WAT
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
LIO
2 - 1
BOY
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAV
0 - 1
LIO
33%
29%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 0
UWI
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
LIO
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LIO
0 - 2
RIV
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |