Waitakere United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
4 - 1
MAG
87%
10%
4%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TEA
4 - 3
WAI
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
4 - 0
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 1
AUC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TEA
0 - 1
HAW
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
OTA
1 - 0
HAW
35%
25%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
HAW
3 - 0
WAI
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
75%
15%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |