Vukovar '91 vs NK Dugopolje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
2º
41
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 2
VUK
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 1
BIJ
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 4
VUK
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 0
DUB
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
4 - 0
ORI
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
NK Dugopolje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NKD
0 - 0
RUD
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 1
NKD
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NKD
1 - 0
KUS
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZMI
0 - 2
NKD
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKD
1 - 0
SOL
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |