Q. Europa League Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Vorskla Poltava vs Daugava Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorskla Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
FKD
1 - 3
VOR
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1997 |
VOR
0 - 3
SHA
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1997 |
ILL
2 - 5
VOR
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1997 |
VOR
2 - 0
KRY
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
VOR
2 - 0
SIF
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
FKD
2 - 1
VEN
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
FKD
1 - 3
VOR
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
DRE
0 - 4
FKD
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1997 |
FKD
1 - 0
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1997 |
DIN
1 - 0
FKD
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |