Vitré vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NAN
0 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 0
LHA
7%
16%
76%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | +3 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BOU
0 - 0
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
OIS
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LON
0 - 0
VIT
19%
19%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
LYO
1 - 0
BOU
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 1
LYO
34%
29%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
AND
1 - 2
LYO
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
USB
1 - 1
LYO
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
LYO
0 - 1
QUE
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |