Vitré vs La Tour d'Auvergne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
14º
1º
14
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
33% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 54.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
USS
0 - 1
VIT
42%
24%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAB
55%
22%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 4
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 2
ASC
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
La Tour d'Auvergne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LAT
1 - 2
PAN
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NAN
0 - 0
LAT
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FON
3 - 0
LAT
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 0
SPG
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |