Vitória vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 5
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
6 - 1
JUA
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 1
VIT
11%
18%
70%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 2
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAO
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 4
BAH
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
2 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
SDJ
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +3 |