Vitória vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIT
10%
21%
70%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
28%
27%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 0
VIT
16%
24%
59%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
VIT
5%
13%
82%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
SDJ
70%
18%
11%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
CSA
9%
21%
71%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
CEA
8%
21%
71%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
ALA
85%
11%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
ALA
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
3 - 3
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |