Vitória Setúbal vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
VIT
4 - 1
VST
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
VST
3 - 3
FAB
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
78%
13%
10%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
VST
2 - 1
LGC
58%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
VST
4 - 0
TOR
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
CAL
2 - 2
FCP
12%
18%
71%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
SPB
4 - 2
CAL
76%
15%
10%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
CAL
4 - 3
FCB
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BEL
0 - 0
CAL
89%
8%
4%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
CAL
1 - 1
SLB
10%
16%
74%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |