Vitoria de Sernache vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PRA
2 - 2
VIT
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
IDA
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
VIT
53%
24%
22%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
BEN
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 0
BEN
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLE
51%
24%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |