Vitoria de Sernache vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAV
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAL
18%
23%
58%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 0
VIT
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 1
ALC
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
9 - 0
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALC
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAF
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |