Vitória Guimarães vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
VIT
5 - 0
LEX
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
VIT
0 - 2
BOA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
VST
1 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCB
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 3
FCP
21%
28%
52%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
CDM
8 - 1
ORI
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
FAB
4 - 2
ORI
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
ORI
1 - 0
FAR
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
BMA
2 - 3
ORI
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |