Primeira Liga round 19

Vitória Guimarães vs Leixões analysis

Vitória Guimarães Leixões
69 ELO 60
11.2% Tilt -0.8%
209º General ELO ranking 2307º
Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
71.4%
Vitória Guimarães
15.8%
Draw
12.7%
Leixões

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.7%
Win probability
Leixões
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória Guimarães
+11%
+11%
Leixões

ELO progression

Vitória Guimarães
Leixões
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 1961
SAL
SC Salgueiros
2 - 3
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
48%
23%
29%
68 55 13 0
05 Feb. 1961
ACA
Académica
2 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
50%
23%
28%
69 65 4 -1
22 Jan. 1961
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 1
Benfica
SLB
25%
22%
53%
68 88 20 +1
15 Jan. 1961
FCB
FC Barreirense
1 - 2
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
46%
24%
30%
68 57 11 0
08 Jan. 1961
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
3 - 2
Os Belenenses
BEL
32%
24%
44%
67 83 16 +1

Matches

Leixões
Leixões
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 1961
LEX
Leixões
0 - 3
Benfica
SLB
15%
18%
67%
61 88 27 0
05 Feb. 1961
FCB
FC Barreirense
2 - 3
Leixões
LEX
52%
22%
26%
61 56 5 0
22 Jan. 1961
LEX
Leixões
2 - 0
Os Belenenses
BEL
20%
22%
58%
59 83 24 +2
15 Jan. 1961
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 5
Leixões
LEX
62%
20%
18%
57 61 4 +2
08 Jan. 1961
LEX
Leixões
3 - 2
Porto
FCP
14%
19%
67%
56 88 32 +1