Vitória Guimarães vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
FCB
1 - 1
VIT
31%
26%
42%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
VIT
3 - 2
ACA
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
BMA
1 - 2
VIT
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
VIT
3 - 2
BEL
62%
21%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
69%
18%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
FAB
1 - 0
BEL
61%
20%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
FAB
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPB
74%
16%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
SLB
6 - 1
FAB
87%
8%
4%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |