Vitória Guimarães vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 1
VIT
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 2
VIT
19%
24%
58%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
GFC
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
VST
2 - 0
VIT
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 0
ACA
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
BEL
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
PEN
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 2
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
GFC
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 2
VST
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |