Qualif. Champions Tercera fase Final
Global 1-2
Vitória Guimarães vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
VIT
4 - 0
EST
59%
25%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 5
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
37%
29%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCV
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 2
GÖT
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
SIO
2 - 0
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
GÖT
1 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |