Vitesse vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
FEY
4 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
VIT
0 - 6
SPA
40%
23%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
MVV
0 - 0
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
VIT
0 - 2
ADO
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
GAE
5 - 1
VIT
60%
19%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
SPA
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
ADO
3 - 0
EXC
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
TWE
23%
27%
51%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |