Virtus vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
VIR
3 - 3
FAE
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DOM
0 - 0
VIR
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 3
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
FOL
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 2
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 3
TPE
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TFI
0 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |