Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
VIR
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
62%
19%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
PEN
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TFI
4 - 2
VIR
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COS
0 - 1
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
COS
5 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |