Viribus Unitis vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
60.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viribus Unitis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 0
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
GSM
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIR
41%
27%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
SIR
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 3
VIR
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPC
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 1
AVE
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 1
EMP
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 1
AVE
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |