Virginia Tech vs Louisville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virginia Tech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
BCE
0 - 0
VTH
36%
23%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 1
NDF
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 1
VIC
35%
22%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DBD
1 - 0
VTH
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 2
STH
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Louisville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
DBD
3 - 1
LOC
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 0
BCE
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SYO
4 - 5
LOC
17%
19%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 0
WKD
33%
22%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 1
CET
30%
22%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |