Vipers SC vs Arua Hill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vipers SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAD
1 - 2
VIP
37%
28%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 1
VIP
38%
26%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
VIP
27%
28%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIP
5 - 0
JIN
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 1
VIP
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AHS
0 - 1
JIN
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 0
WAK
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
AHS
36%
29%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 4
JIN
71%
16%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BUL
0 - 0
AHS
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |