Villegas vs River Ebro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
76.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VIA
1 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 6
BER
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SDL
7 - 0
VIL
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 3
COM
20%
20%
61%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
NAX
7 - 0
VIL
90%
8%
3%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
River Ebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 2
ARN
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 1
RIV
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 1
ALB
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
OYO
2 - 2
RIV
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 2
VAR
40%
23%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |