Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 2-1
Villarreal vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
SEV
36%
25%
40%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
SCP
0 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
VAD
0 - 0
VIL
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
ESP
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
VCF
3 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPB
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
SCP
0 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 3
SCP
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SCP
2 - 4
SLB
44%
25%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |