Villarcayo Nela vs UP Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SJO
2 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
NUM
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
COC
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UXA
0 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
BUR
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UP Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UPP
0 - 1
UXA
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
UPP
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UPP
2 - 2
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 4
UPP
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UPP
2 - 3
AST
33%
24%
44%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |