Villanueva CF vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
UFC
22%
24%
55%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAB
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
TAM
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
UDC
0 - 5
ZAR
13%
19%
68%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 2
BEL
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BIN
1 - 1
ZAR
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ROB
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 4
ZAR
12%
19%
69%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |