Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 0-3
Vilhena vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 4
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAR
61%
20%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIL
70%
20%
10%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 0
ROL
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MIX
2 - 1
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 3
PAL
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
POR
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
ITU
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |