Copa Verde Last 16
Global 5-3
Vilhena vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PIM
3 - 1
VIL
37%
24%
38%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
VIL
5 - 0
PIM
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 2
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
ESP
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MIX
1 - 0
OPE
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MGR
0 - 1
MIX
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 2
LUV
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MIX
2 - 1
MGR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
SIN
0 - 0
MIX
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |