Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-6
Vilhena vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
72%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIL
4 - 1
GEN
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
ROL
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ROL
2 - 2
VIL
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ARI
4 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
ATP
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ATP
4 - 1
CIA
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 0
JMA
76%
16%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
CCR
0 - 0
ATP
10%
18%
72%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ATP
8 - 0
PRU
85%
12%
3%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |