Campeonato de Portugal Grupo A round 2

Vilaverdense FC vs Maria da Fonte analysis

Vilaverdense FC Maria da Fonte
23 ELO 27
5.2% Tilt -3.9%
4356º General ELO ranking 10651º
66º Country ELO ranking 248º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Vilaverdense FC
23.9%
Draw
40.5%
Maria da Fonte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
Vilaverdense FC
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.5%
Win probability
Maria da Fonte
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vilaverdense FC
-31%
-3%
Maria da Fonte

ELO progression

Vilaverdense FC
Maria da Fonte
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vilaverdense FC
Vilaverdense FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2021
MER
Merelinense
1 - 3
Vilaverdense FC
VIL
72%
17%
11%
20 35 15 0
11 Apr. 2021
MAR
Maria da Fonte
0 - 2
Vilaverdense FC
VIL
74%
16%
10%
19 30 11 +1
03 Apr. 2021
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
1 - 2
Merelinense
MER
21%
23%
56%
19 36 17 0
14 Mar. 2021
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
1 - 1
Braganca
BRA
59%
21%
21%
20 20 0 -1
07 Mar. 2021
AGU
Águia FC Vimioso
0 - 2
Vilaverdense FC
VIL
32%
22%
46%
19 15 4 +1

Matches

Maria da Fonte
Maria da Fonte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2021
MAR
Maria da Fonte
1 - 0
Mirandela
MIR
54%
23%
23%
27 27 0 0
23 May. 2021
FAF
Fafe
0 - 1
Maria da Fonte
MAR
78%
16%
7%
26 45 19 +1
16 May. 2021
MAR
Maria da Fonte
2 - 3
Vitória SC B
VSC
12%
19%
69%
27 47 20 -1
09 May. 2021
MIR
Mirandela
2 - 0
Maria da Fonte
MAR
41%
26%
34%
29 29 0 -2
02 May. 2021
MAR
Maria da Fonte
1 - 1
Fafe
FAF
20%
26%
54%
27 45 18 +2