Vilaverdense FC vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
VIL
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEL
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
VIL
44%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
MOR
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 0
CAS
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |